Seahawks Vs Buccaneers: Prominent what DK Metcalf's contract delay could look like?
With one year left on Seattle Seahawks star wide receiver DK Metcalf's rookie deal, the renewal of the Ole Miss product has been a constant topic of conversation for Seahawks fans this off-season. The off-season started with trade rumors hitting asking prices for two first-round picks, but died down as the NFL draw approached. NFL London Fans can buy Seahawks Vs Buccaneers Tickets from our website.
Seahawks star wide receiver DK Metcalf's rookie deal |
Metcalf recently expressed optimism that Seattle will get something done before the season, as has Pete Carroll. Since each widely accepted contract seems to usurp the previous, as it is the contract with the highest average annual value and the most guarantees at the time of signature, it is difficult to predict exactly what Metcalf's contract will be. However, the past two off-seasons have given us some contracts that we can use as a benchmark for potential trades.
Deal#1- AJ Brown
Details- 4 years - $100,000,000 - Total GTD - $57,220,000 -
guaranteed (GTD) at signing - $39,999,999
The deal is Metcalf's best comparison on multiple fronts. Ole
Miss's former teammates are all 24 and 2022 in the last year of their rookie
deals. Brown has played in 43 games compared to Metcalf's 48 and has 2,995
receiving yards and 24 touchdowns compared to Metcalf's 3,170 29 touchdowns for
the team. So all in all, shouldn't this deal be the basis of Metcalf's new
contract? Yes, no, yes, because their production and age are very similar, but
Brown signed a contract with an acquisition team instead of his original team,
which gave him more leverage in the negotiation process and will likely
increase his numbers. Unlike the Philadelphia Eagles, who gave up assets to
take over Brown when there was already a contract extension, Seattle could
simply set a price for Metcalf, and if he declined, they could trade him. They
have more leverage in the process, which could lower Metcalfe's numbers a bit.
Contract projection - 4 years - $96,500,000 - GTD at signing
- $42,750,000
While the contract is a big deal under Brown's trade, it
still falls short of other high-paying wide receiver deals in the league. His
Average Annual Value (AAV) is $24,125,000, which would put him fourth worth
behind Stefon Diggs at $24,000,000. He would tie for third with DeAndre Hopkins
in total guaranteed signings behind Tyreek Hill and Diggs.
Brown has played in 43 games compared to Metcalf's 48 and has 2,995 receiving yards |
Deal #2 Mike Williams/Chris Godwin
Details- 3 years - $60,000,000 - Total GTD - $40,000,000 -
GTD at signing - $40,000,000
An agreement from this structure could be very attractive to
Metcalf. Metcalf's career output far exceeds Williams and Godwin's, and
although Godwin played 23 more games than Metcalf, he has only 1,473 more
receiving yards than Metcalf. Godwin also signed a contract with a torn ACL
late in the 2021 season. Williams signed his contract at the right time and has
racked up 1,146 yards, 179 more than Metcalf and one game less than the
Seahawks.
A three-year contract with a similar warranty structure would
be of great benefit to both parties. For Metcalf, that would allow him to
maintain a high guaranteed total and have his contract expire midway through
his 28-year season, giving him the chance to make one last big deal. Seattle
benefits from a deal like this because it gives them more productivity in the
event of an injury or a production drop. Football is a sport and some players
suddenly break down for physical reasons, God forbid that happens at Metcalf,
and then Seattle's three-year contract got more protection.
Projected contract: 3 years - $72,000,000 - GTD at signing
$48,240,000
Despite its increases in both AAV and guaranteed, the
contract still follows the baseline of the Williams and Godwin trade in terms
of the percentage of deals guaranteed. Both deals guaranteed 67% of the total
contract, and Metcalf was also guaranteed in its trade. His guarantee would be
the second-highest for a wide receiver at $4,295,000 less than Hill's record
deal with the Dolphins. His $24 million AAV ranks fifth with Stefon Diggs.
Godwin also signed a contract with a torn ACL late in the 2021 season |
Deal #3 Davante Adams
Details- 5 years - $140,000,000 - GTD at signing -
$22,750,000 - Total GTD - $65,670,000
It's hard to imagine Metcalf hitting Adams' $28 million in
AAV, but if Metcalf signs a five-year deal, the other numbers in the contract
aren't out of reach. Adams is arguably the best receiver in the world, with a
combination of 1,553 yards and 11 touchdowns on 123 receptions this season. The
former Green Bay Packers (then) signed his record-breaking deal with the Las
Vegas Raiders, who traded first and second-round picks for 2 All-Pro picks in
2022. Metcalf has no career honors, no Adams impact, and no stats, but Metcalf
is a receiver who has yet to reach his peak despite serious injury issues when
he entered the league. But he played in every game he could.
As with the three-year agreement, both parties benefit from
the five-year agreement. Assuming Metcalf stays healthy and continues his
career, Seattle signed him to a contract that lasted his entire prime until his
30s. Metcalf, on the other hand, took advantage of the deal because he was
protected. As discussed with the three-year deal, some players suddenly have a
problem in their careers, and a five-year deal with a high guarantee protects
Metcalf in case something like this happens.
Projected contract: 5 years - $121,000,000 - GTD at signing -
$52,200,000
The total dollars in this contract would equal the NFL's 17th largest contract and second-largest receiver deal. It's definitely the least likely deal of the three, but if both sides want to sign a five-year deal, it's hard to imagine a contract very close to those two figures. His $24.2 million AAV ranks fifth behind Brown and ahead of the Diggs, but his signing is guaranteed to be the second-highest total for receivers: just $135,000 less than Tyreek Hill and well ahead of No. Stefon Diggs is in third place.
Adams is arguably the best receiver in the world, with a combination of 1,553 yards |
Overall prediction
I think both parties would
rather sign a four-year contract. With just five wide receivers on five-year
contracts, it's hard to imagine Metcalf being No. 6, in part because Seattle
will be pegged to the dollar, but also because it would significantly reduce
its chances of a contract. The NFL's third-largest contract. Building on a
four-year basis makes too much sense for either side, and the overall downside
of the four-year route is minimal. Entering his 29-year season, Metcalf will
once again be a free agent, putting him in line for the final payday, and
Seattle will get Metcalf at an extremely affordable price.
In the past three months,
the NFL has seen a surprising number of star players switch teams in one of the
most active offseasons in league history. With the reset button pressed, the
Seahawks found themselves at the forefront of chaos, shockingly swapping
quarterback Russell Wilson for the Broncos and releasing professional
linebacker Bobby Wagner in March.
But while Wilson's move to
Mile High may be the most significant addition to any team this spring, this
offseason has really been defined by unprecedented moves and skyrocketing
contracts for superstar receivers.
The insanity began when the
Packers were unable to agree with Davante Adams on a new contract, forcing them
to trade him to the Raiders in a rare sign-and-trade deal. Shortly after, the
Chiefs sent Tyrek Hill to the Dolphins, who gave him a record contract
extension over Adams' deal. Then, during the 2022 NFL Draft, the Titans stunned
the football world by A.J. Brown against the Hawks, who quickly signed him to a
monster extension.
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