NFL Week 1 odds, picks: Broncos beat Seahawks in Russell Wilson return, Jaguars disappoint commanders
The regular season is upon us and that only means one thing: Between now and Super Bowl XVII in February, it’s time to bet on football. Broncos shell Seahawks in Russell Wilson's return, as we’ve done for the past few years, I’ll be one of your punters all season, and you’re welcome to follow or disappear as we progress. NFL London fans to buy NFL London Tickets from our website.
While my ATS was 131-137-4 during the 2021 regular season, my lockout this week maintained a strong 50-36-4 ATS and we will continue to do so as we head into the New Year. Our ATS was also 8-5 in the playoffs a year ago, so when the stakes were highest, our ATS was also over 500.
As we start week 1 between the Bills and Rams on Thursday, let’s take a look at the whole opening, starting with my five locks.
2022 record
Regular season
Locked ATS this week: 0-0
ATS: 0-0
ML: 0-0
Jaguars at Commander
Last Chances: Washington Commander -2.5
I love the Jaguars’ 6.5-game win streak this season, and it all started with a traffic accident in Washington.
Even if he’s just a bottom line, the average head coach, Urban Meyer’s upgrade to Doug Pederson would have a huge impact on this roster, and hopefully, he’ll get Trevor Lawrence back on the floor in One of the Most Promising Quarterbacks of a while in the NFL.
Not only have Jacksonville upgraded the head coach, but they’ve also improved their lineup on both sides, and the defence should make life difficult for Carson Wentz when he first starts for Washington. Wentz made 48.3 per cent of his career starts, earning 4-5 ATS at home when he started for the Colts last year.
As a favourite, Indy is 4-4 ATS under Wentz, so he’s hardly someone you’d want to avoid. It’s also worth pointing out that Washington isn’t particularly strong under Ron Rivera. Washington’s ATS is 0-5 in the last five games in September. NFL London Broncos vs Jaguars fans to buy Broncos vs Jaguars Tickets from our website.
With that record and the expected improvement of the Jaguars in my team, I am not only going to score points, but I expect Jacksonville to win outright.
Projected Score: Jaguars 23, Commanders 20
Choice: Jaguar +2.5
Saints of the Falcons
Last Chances: Atlanta Falcons +5.5
Atlanta currently ranks second with the NFL’s worst regular season record at +375. New Orleans, meanwhile, took 8.5 wins at -130 and made the playoffs at +105. The spread of the game seems to be a bit low due to a significant gap in their season outlook, although the Saints are the away favourites.
While Sean Payton is no longer on the sidelines, Dennis Allen has been promoted from the role of defensive coordinator, and it’s not a complete staff reshuffle, so they shouldn’t face the predicament as much as some clubs with a freshman head coach.
Last year, New Orleans was one of the best bets on the road, with 66.7 per cent of games. That was a shuffle of quarterbacks after Jameis Winston’s knee injury. He is now healthy and has a squad of players whose technical positions have improved greatly.
While Marcus Mariota is a capable quarterback and rookie Drake London and sophomore tight end Kyle Pitts are interesting weapons, it’s hard to see Atlanta — a team with the third-best team-year odds of being the NFL’s lowest-scoring team. – keep up with New Orleans units.
Projected Score: Saints 27, Falcons 17
Choose: Saints – 5.5
Broncos at Seahawks
Last Chances: Seattle Seahawks +6.5
If the Seahawks can beat the Broncos in “Monday Night Football” and destroy a ton of survivors, I’d love to see the chaos unfold, but I just don’t see it happening. More realistically, Russell Wilson will return to Seattle and perform after an off-season trade to Denver Broncos. NFL London Broncos vs Jaguars fans to buy Denver Broncos vs Jacksonville Jaguars Tickets from our website.
I expect Wilson’s debut with the Broncos to look like his last game as a Seahawks member at Lumen Field, where he finished with 4 touchdowns for 236 yards and 68.9 per cent of his passes in Week 17.
When you combine a rejuvenated Wilson with a Broncos defence expected to be one of the league’s best lineups this year, that’s a problem for Geno Smith and the Seahawks.
Projected Score: Broncos 33, Seahawks 20
Choose: Broncos -6.5
Chargers Raiders
Last Chances: Los Angeles Chargers -3
The AFC West is poised to become one of the craziest divisions in the NFL this year, so why not start the year off the beaten track? The Chargers are the favourites to win the Super Bowl this season, but I believe the Raiders will overtake them as esteemed free-agent corner J.C. Jackson is likely to miss the game after undergoing ankle surgery earlier this summer.
Going into the opener without the top corner and having to guard Davante Adams’s task is not ideal for Los Angeles. Combined with a strong defence in Las Vegas, there is a lot of potential for disruption here.
While Josh McDaniels’ tenure as head coach with the Broncos was largely seen as a failure, he came out strong with a 6-0 record. Meanwhile, Chargers head coach Brandon Staley was less gambling-friendly in his first season as manager, holding an 8-9 ATS record and a 4-4 home favourite.
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